Predicitions: make them now coz postdicting is cheating

It's already late. And it's just going to get later. So, I'll keep this concise. Unlike other commentators I'm not going to dilly dally and play it safe. Daran from Positif Politics wanted a mention so here it is: people are paying you for political advice and you still don't have the balls to call Llanelli!:) Humph. I'd rather have egg on my face than no eggs at all. You can't have an election without eggs (blimey, that's bollocks isn't it? Caffeine kicking in...)

Marginals:
Aberconwy:
Plaid gain from Labour (though notionally a hold due to boundary changes). Sorry Dylan.
Caerphilly: Labour Hold. Ron Davies has badgered the incumbent Labour AM with all his will. But unless Caerphilly has a collective moment of madness, this seat is safe.
Cardiff North: Tory gain from Labour. Cherie and Gordon some Howe fail.
Carmarthen West: Plaid gain from Labour. Christine fails to Gwyther the storm.
Clwyd West: Tory gain form Labour. Being Christian and a little bit iffy on homosexuality didn't stop George W. Bush.
Delyn: Labour hold. Tory candidate Antoinette Sandbach goes back to being a character from a period novel.
Llanelli: Plaid gain from Labour. Helen Mary Jones buys herself a new scarf to celebrate.
Preseli Pembrokeshire: Tory gain from Labour. It's a close one. Tamsin Dun-goody, but not goody enough.

Overall:
Labour 25
Plaid 15
Tories 11
Lib Dem 7
Others 2

Done. And if any of you are still chaffing in the groin area - jump off that bloody fence. NOW!

WHISPERS, GOSSIP, RUMOURS. IF YOU'RE AT A COUNT OR PARTY HQ GIVE ME A CALL OR DROP ME AN EMAIL: blamerbell@googlemail.com

Let's throw a few spanners in the works...

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posted by Blamerbell @ 10:31 pm,

6 Comments:

At 10:40 pm, Blogger View from the Glen said...

agree and disagree. See blog

 
At 10:44 pm, Anonymous Anonymous said...

fzkfeaajcheck out the briefing paper labours given to ministers ,,,,,,, valleys mam has it on her blog

 
At 10:51 pm, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Yeah, but who cares which bunch of crooks is running the country anyway?

 
At 11:07 pm, Blogger View from the Glen said...

Who did you vote for in the end Ceiron?

 
At 11:10 pm, Blogger Blamerbell said...

Not telling. People are still banging on about Vaughan Roderick being this and Betsan Powys being that.

No prizes for guessing what Lee Waters was.

Best to keep cards close to the chest methinks.

 
At 11:16 pm, Blogger Tortoiseshell said...

Apparently Llanelli postal votes are neck and neck (ish)

 

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